Dr. Clemens Chay

Researcher in the Geopolitical & Domestic Affairs of the Gulf Arab States

“The past resembles the future more than one drop of water resembles another.”

Latest posts


  • Trump’s Ultimatum Versus Iran’s Layered Insulation

    Trump’s Ultimatum Versus Iran’s Layered Insulation

    In this analysis for ORF Middle East, I take stock of the events happening throughout the 2026 United Nations General Assembly, the 81st time member states have convened: US President Trump said that he is weighing whether to “annihilate” Iran, even as Tehran continues to build layers of problems to insulate the nuclear file that…

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  • The Board of Peace’s Unfinishable Business

    The Board of Peace’s Unfinishable Business

    Inspired by conversations at the Hili Forum, including by the segment featuring Nickolay Mladenov, the High Representative for Gaza, I argue the following in this piece for the Middle East Institute in Singapore: Hamas’s acceptance of the 15-point Gaza Roadmap is less a concession than a calculated manoeuvre — by dissolving its government and endorsing…

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  • Oman’s Quiet Return to the Region’s Center

    Oman’s Quiet Return to the Region’s Center

    Oman’s divergence from the other Gulf Arab states could help shape the postwar regional order and determine the future of the Strait of Hormuz, I argue in my latest piece for the DC-based Arab Gulf States Institute. Read the full commentary HERE.

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interested in my work? or seeking my cv?

Simply email me or drop me a DM on Twitter or LinkedIn. For my list of downloadable academic publications, please click here to visit my academia.edu profile.

Looking for collaboration?

The Gulf Cooperation Council states are undergoing immense socio-economic transformation, in a bid to both attract talent and wean themselves off oil. These exciting developments offer a bountiful of research opportunities.

Close-up of a person riding a skateboard, focusing on their feet and the board. One foot is on the board, while the other foot is up, in motion. A skatepark is blurred in the background.
Photograph: Unsplash, Mika Baumeister

Whether you are looking for advice on the Gulf Arab states, a meeting for collaboration, or a discussion on a policy/academic project, please feel free to get in touch.


public education webinar series

United Arab Emirates. Qatar. Saudi Arabia. Bahrain. Kuwait. Oman.

Photograph by Clemens Chay