“The past resembles the future more than one drop of water resembles another.”

Latest posts
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Force Without Freedom: The Long Game in the Strait
Read the full article HERE. I dissect, in this piece for ORF Middle East, what Washington’s Project Freedom, an operation designed to “guide” stranded vessels out of the waterway closed by Iran, means when it only survived a one-day arc. Despite Washington’s naval blockade, Tehran’s low-cost asymmetric arsenal is sufficient to sustain maximum disruption for…
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A Switch, Not a Signal: Interpreting Iran’s 18-Hour Strait Opening
Read the full article HERE. Inspired by conversations with personnel from the shipping sector, I write this piece for ORF Middle East examining how Iran’s brief reopening (for 18 hours) of the Strait of Hormuz on a Friday evening was timed to exploit global shipping’s dependence on business hours, ensuring no real movement could occur.…
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Ceasefire Emerges in the US-Israel Conflict with Iran: Experts React
Following the announcement of a two-week ceasefire, approximately forty days into the US-Israel military campaign against Iran, my colleagues and I at ORF Middle East offer our reactions to this new development. Read our quick takes HERE. Trump compounded his own difficulties by escalating his threats — warning of strikes on power plants, bridges, and…
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