“The past resembles the future more than one drop of water resembles another.”

Latest posts
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Commentary: US strikes on Houthis sent a message. Iran heard it loud and clear
My latest piece for CNA entails: US foreign policy thus far has shown a substantial appetite for risk and, despite President Trump’s declaration of being war-averse, the ongoing strikes on the Houthis are all about (1) bringing Iran to the negotiation table; (2) blaming his predecessor Mr Biden. Iran has shuffled its feet uneasily —
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![[Media Comments] Closer China-Iran ties could provoke US into ‘harsher’ response on nuclear issue, analysts say](https://clemenschay.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/china-iran-russia-flags-signifying-cooperation.png?w=1024)
[Media Comments] Closer China-Iran ties could provoke US into ‘harsher’ response on nuclear issue, analysts say
I shared my thoughts with Ziwen Zhao’s piece at SCMP on nuclear talks and China-Iran relations. The context? Russia and China have both publicly expressed support for the lifting of sanctions on Iran, while Mr. Trump warned the Islamic Republic that they should come to the negotiation table. I would add a few more thinking
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![[Media Comments] Arab states’ Gaza recovery plan fails to sway Trump as US insists on ‘Riviera’ vision](https://clemenschay.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/create-a-highly-detailed-comic-art-capturing-a-significant-meeting.png?w=1024)
[Media Comments] Arab states’ Gaza recovery plan fails to sway Trump as US insists on ‘Riviera’ vision
I offered my comments for Tom Hussain’s story on the US rejection of the pan-Arab plan for Gaza’s post-war recovery, as a counterproposal to Mr. Trump’s outrageous “Riviera” idea. The report, found here, features snippets of my full remarks. I would further add that: (1) The Arab plan for Gaza represents a projection of solidarity
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