My latest commentary for the IAI – Istituto Affari Internazionali — written with observations from Dubai — examines the two gambles at the heart of the US-Israel military campaign against Iran. Both gamles carry consequences far beyond the region.
This is a war of choice built on miscalculation, not imminent threat. Iran is retaliating without restraint, with the global economy already feeling the cost. And the endgame remains dangerously vague — leaving Gulf Arab states caught in the crossfire and weighing their options.
The diplomacy was working. The strikes came anyway. The full article is found below:
Dr. Clemens Chay 