Category: Uncategorized
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France’s Palestine Decision Arrives with Israel’s Global Standing at Low Ebb
In MEI Perspectives 47, I discuss the significance of France’s decision to recognise a Palestinian state, and how these reverberations are meant not only for Europe, but also further abroad. This policy announcement also comes at a critical juncture as Israel intends to expand its military occupation. *************************** In early 2017, former French President François…
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![[Live Media Appearance] France to recognise Palestinian state](https://clemenschay.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/07/screenshot-2025-07-29-155614.png?w=1024)
[Live Media Appearance] France to recognise Palestinian state
I was on BBC News to talk about President Macron’s decision to recognise a Palestinian state and why it goes beyond diplomatic significance. This runs on a momentum of disillusionment in Europe and beyond, following the signing of a joint statement by 28 countries calling for an end to the Gaza atrocities. But for the…
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Commentary: Netanyahu will do just enough for the idea of Gaza ceasefire to keep Washington in his corner
In my latest writing for CNA, I dissect the argument that war sustains Netanyahu’s political position. The Israeli prime minister is faced with both internal and external pressures, but is juggling the scales to his advantage.Certainly, despite nominating President Trump for the Nobel Peace Prize, the Israeli leader has little interest in peace. Read the…
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![[Media Comments] How Israel Appears to Be Gambling With the Trump Administration’s Patience](https://clemenschay.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/07/image.png?w=1024)
[Media Comments] How Israel Appears to Be Gambling With the Trump Administration’s Patience
I spoke with Miranda Jeyaretnam of the TIME magazine about the Trump Administration’s growing frustration with Israel, noting that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu was previously blindsided by Mr Trump several times before Israeli assault on Iran. Full article here and below. Israeli aggression appears to be vexing the Trump Administration. The White House said…
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![[Media Comments] Asean-GCC economic axis: the Global South’s answer to US volatility?](https://clemenschay.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/07/asean-meeting-1.png?w=1024)
[Media Comments] Asean-GCC economic axis: the Global South’s answer to US volatility?
Quoted in a piece by Tom Hussain on the growing momentum of free trade and investment deals between ASEAN member states and the Gulf Arab countries. Full article below. Asean-GCC economic axis: the Global South’s answer to US volatility? The two blocs’ emerging alliance looks to leverage each other’s strengths to buffer both regions from…
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Snap Insight: Iranian response in Qatar was specifically targeted at Washington – ‘We are done’
Completing this piece in Saudi Arabia, not far off from Qatar where the Iranian response was targeted, I write that the symbolic missile attack on Al Udeid base hosted by the Gulf Arab state was an indication that a weary Iran is signaling for respite. A lasting truce, however, will depend on two questions. READ…
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Why Trump’s Coercive Diplomacy Should Now Focus on ‘Diplomacy’
I write for the Middle East Institute-NUS on how US President Trump’s coercive diplomacy towards Iran should now focus on diplomatic efforts, following the exchange of blows between Tehran and Tel Aviv, which came to a head with US strikes on Iranian nuclear sites. Regime change, as the president threatened, will not be helpful as…
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![[Live Media Appearance] G7 Meeting in Alberta; Iran-Israel Conflict](https://clemenschay.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/screenshot-2025-06-22-114010.png?w=895)
[Live Media Appearance] G7 Meeting in Alberta; Iran-Israel Conflict
I was on BBC News earlier on the morning (SGT) of June 17, while the G7 meeting in Alberta was still transpiring, discussing how President Trump seems to rely heavily on coercive diplomacy to force Iran to negotiate — all that despite Israel’s initiation of the state-on-state actions (which had scuttled last Sunday’s nuclear talks).…
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The Gulf Appears Exempt from US Demands on Others
My latest write-up ✍️ for Middle East Institute – NUS reflects on Secretary of Defense Peth Hegseth’s remarks at the recent Shangri-La Dialogue, but from a Middle Eastern/Gulf angle. I shared my thoughts on burden-sharing, hedging, and entanglements. READ HERE.
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Commentary: Why Singapore PM Wong’s recent comments on Israel actions in Gaza are significant
I wrote a piece for CNA discussing Singapore’s position on Gaza, amid the turning tide of international opinion against Israel. French President Emmanuel Macron’s state visit to Singapore lent extra significance to Prime Minister Lawrence Wong’s remarks — the strongest so far by Singapore’s leadership. Mr Macron had recently underscored the need for Europe to…
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Commentary: Trump left the Middle East with plenty of deals, except the one he wants most
My take on US President Donald Trump’s rockstar reception in the Gulf, which ended with blockbuster deals. A follow-up from an earlier piece that I wrote before POTUS’ trip. This time, for CNA, my breakdown of his trip corresponds to the section titles in my article:🔺Money talks… AI🔺Boeing and Defence, the Chief Beneficiaries🔺Is Regional Stability…
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Expert Snapshots: Trump’s Visit to the Gulf
Together with colleagues from the US, including those from Washington, DC, and Houston, we offered our quick takes ahead of President Trump’s Mid East visit comprising Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and the United Arab Emirates. READ HERE.
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![[IAI Publication] Will Trump’s Visit to the Gulf Be More than Just Fanfare?](https://clemenschay.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/afp__20250513__46fn3uq__v1__highres__saudiuspoliticsdiplomacy.jpg?w=1024)
[IAI Publication] Will Trump’s Visit to the Gulf Be More than Just Fanfare?
My latest writing for IAI – Istituto Affari Internazionali examines the stakes during US president Donald Trump’s upcoming visit to the Gulf. Besides the economic hype — and anticipated deals — which will inject optimism in the American economy, there will also be realpolitik at play. The state of the global economic order and regional…
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Commentary: Why Oman is the Trusted Intermediary for US-Iran Talks
My latest writing ✍️ explains why Oman remains the preferred go-between for US-Iran talks, despite the intermediary roles of neighbouring Gulf states in other conflict theatres. READ HERE.
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Expert Snapshots: US-Iran Nuclear Talks
MEI’s Expert Snapshots feature inputs from Sachi Sakanashi, Alam Saleh, Ludovica Castelli, and yours truly. What do we make of the cautious optimism surrounding the ongoing US-Iran talks? Why is Donald Trump pursuing a deal similar to the one he abandoned? What do both sides seek to achieve? These quick thoughts 💭 help to break…
