Dr. Clemens Chay

Researcher in the Geopolitical & Domestic Affairs of the Gulf Arab States

The US-Iran Peace Deal: Experts React

US and Iran flags

Read the quick takes HERE.

The news broke during the early hours of 15 June, when United States (US) President Donald Trump confirmed an announcement by Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif that a peace deal between the US and Iran had been reached, iterating that both sides had declared “the immediate and permanent termination of military operations on all fronts, including in Lebanon.”

I share my quick take alongside colleagues at ORF Middle East in our latest compilation of “Experts React”.

 The deeper challenge, however, is structural. A sequential deal of this design favours Iran, enabling Tehran to leverage control over Hormuz as a bargaining tool to delay concessions on the nuclear file. Regardless of its eventual outcome, Operation Epic Fury does not appear to have achieved its stated objective of degrading Iranian military capabilities.

– CLemens Chay
United States and Iranian flags flying side by side

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