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In this piece for ORF Middle East, I argue the following:
- Iran’s advantage is baked into the MOU’s architecture, with immediate concessions flowing to Tehran upfront while US gains on the nuclear file remain deferred and conditional.
- Spoilers persist, as Israel’s operations in Lebanon continue alongside hardline rhetoric in Washington and Tehran, keeping escalation risks very real.
- Washington’s climbdown is evident in abandoning the maximalist positions that launched Operation Epic Fury, though whether the final deal surpasses Obama’s 2015 achievement remains an open question.
Dr. Clemens Chay 